It's time for NFL overreactions.
If there's never a bad time for mock drafts these days, there's certainly not a bad time for overreactions. That's especially true now that fans have just witnessed the opening salvo of the 2021 season.
The Week 1 schedule offered some big surprises and disappointments, both on individual and team levels. Making long-term projections based on those results is a recipe for some misses, but we trudge on anyway.
Here are some noteworthy way-too-early overreactions from Week 1.
Repeat Time in Tampa Bay
Fans didn't need to actually see Tom Brady and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on the field in Week 1 to think this, right?
Tampa Bay worked some magic in the front office this offseason to retain last year's championship core. Brady is back. So are Chris Godwin, Rob Gronkowski, Antonio Brown, Leonard Fournette, Lavonte David, Shaquil Barrett—you get the point.
But the on-field performance in Week 1 only confirmed the thought. Brady casually tossed four touchdown passes in the Thursday opener, besting the Dallas Cowboys 31-29. Gronk, Godwin and Brown each caught at least one TD pass, with the prime-looking Brown leading the team in receiving with 121 yards on a 24.2 yards-per-catch average.
Granted, the defense did cough up nearly 30 points, something it only did three times last year. But Dallas isn't the typical offense the Buccaneers will face. Dak Prescott is elite, and the skill positions around him are stacked. Odds are these two will see each other again in the playoffs.
Brady looking like he's playing some of the best ball of his career at the age of 44 while surrounded by this crop of talent is a bad sign for the rest of the league. A would-be contender like Dallas was a hurdle, and the Buccaneers cleared it. Meanwhile, a legitimate threat like Green Bay got blown out on opening weekend, while Kansas City and Buffalo looked vulnerable, too.
Trevor Lawrence Not Pulling a Burrow or Herbert
Getting blown out of the water by the dramatically rebuilding Houston Texans probably wasn't what most envisioned from No. 1 pick Trevor Lawrence right out of the gates.
Maybe fans have just been spoiled in recent years by strong performances from first-round passers such as Kyler Murray, Joe Burrow and Justin Herbert.
But Lawrence, sometimes cited as the best of any of those names as a prospect, had three touchdown passes and three interceptions in a 37-21 loss to Houston on Sunday. One of those featured a defensive back watching Lawrence's eyes the whole way before cutting over and making an easy pick.
The Texans have arguably the worst roster in the league, which makes the showing concerning. Lawrence also has to operate in an Urban Meyer-led attack that asked him to attempt 51 passes to just 16 overall rushing attempts. Considering Burrow only threw five picks over 10 games as a rookie and Herbert 10 over 15, the turnover hiccups raise a red flag.
Over the long term, Lawrence could end up being just fine. But one week in, the signs hint that he won't match the rookie-year hype.