The NFL offseason didn't disappoint fans hoping to see star players find new homes. But despite all the headline-grabbing moves, we've yet to see how things will play out on the field.

So after sifting through every transaction and draft pick, we're turning our focus to the season—and to teams that won't meet expectations.

Some contending squads will bite the dust after losing key pieces or because they lack depth. Up-and-comers will fall flat because the team isn't ready for the challenge.

Our friends at DraftKings have set team win lines and Super Bowl LVII odds. We'll use both to gauge expectation levels.

These six teams are overrated in at least one metric. We'll look at each of these baseline expectations and dive into why these squads won't reach their goal in 2022.

 

Arizona Cardinals

The Arizona Cardinals are far from being considered a Super Bowl threat despite winning 11 games in 2021. Their win total is set at nine, and they have the 14th-highest odds to win the Super Bowl at +2500.

Expecting them to beat that projection and challenge for a wild card is unrealistic.

The Cardinals raced out to a 10-2 record before their season fell apart last year. Their roster is top-heavy, and it got worse in that regard after it lost edge-rusher Chandler Jones in free agency. They'll also have to compensate for the loss of DeAndre Hopkins for the first six weeks after the league suspended him for violating its performance-enhancing drug policy.

Outside those two players, this wasn't a bad offseason for Arizona. Trading its first-round pick for Marquise Brown added a needed deep threat at receiver. Both third-round edge-rushers Myjai Sanders and Cameron Thomas have great physical tools and were quality values based on predraft expectations that they could land in the second round.

However, the Cardinals' biggest problem from 2021 wasn't addressed because of cap limitations: their depth. They won't be able to withstand injuries to defensive end J.J. Watt, running back Chase Edmonds or offensive lineman Rodney Hudson or any absence from quarterback Kyler Murray. The only position at which they have better depth is tight end.

Arizona may reach nine wins, but it would need excellent injury luck and a red-hot Murray. The best thing it can hope for is a favorable schedule in the six games without Hopkins. An especially hard start to the year would put extra stress on the team to deliver without one of its best players.

That pressure could be enough to knock the Cardinals out of the NFC West race before it even begins.

 

Baltimore Ravens

One AFC North team is in for a rude awakening in 2022. Pinning down exactly which franchise it'll be is difficult since the Cincinnati Bengals just made the Super Bowl and the other contenders can say they're improved.

The team with the weakest argument appears to be the Baltimore Ravens.

The Cleveland Browns upgraded their biggest weakness from quarterback Baker Mayfield to Deshaun Watson, and Pittsburgh is hoping its change from Ben Roethlisberger to Mitch Trubisky or Kenny Pickett brings a new energy to the beleaguered offense.

If Watson plays all season for Cleveland, the Browns will be Super Bowl contenders. Pittsburgh is also consistently pesky regardless of how well its quarterback plays.

Baltimore, with a win line of 9.5 and Super Bowl odds of +2200, also has a case it improved. The offensive line will be significantly better thanks to the return of Ronnie Stanley and additions of Tyler Linderbaum and Morgan Moses.

The defense should also benefit from a healthy Marcus Peters and Marlon Humphrey at cornerback. New defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald must prove he's an upgrade over his predecessor, Don Martindale, but the unit has impressive veteran talent.