Don't go ordering your Baker Mayfield jerseys just yet, Broncos fans. Despite a successful union at last month's Senior Bowl, the Heisman-winning quarterback is considered by Robert Klemko of Sports Illustrated as unlikely to end up with Denver in the NFL draft. Klemko, in naming 10 potential landing spots for Mayfield, drew on John Elway's history to come to this conclusion. Yes, the Broncos coaching staff got an up-close-and-personal look at Mayfield at the Senior Bowl and, from what I hear, liked what they saw, but I just don’t see Mayfield ultimately fitting with what John Elway values in a quarterback. We now have a long enough track record of Elway quarterback picks to search for a trend, and boy is it easy to find. Regardless of whether Elway drafts a QB in the first two rounds (Paxton Lynch, Brock Osweiler) or takes a flier on a passer in the seventh round (Chad Kelly, Trevor Siemian, Zac Dysert) every one of them has been at least 6' 2" (and sometimes 6' 7") with a quick release and cannon arm being their biggest assets. A sampling: “His shining asset is his arm strength; he can hit nearly any NFL-caliber throw at this point in his career.” (NFL.com on Brock Osweiler); “Made a few ‘wow’ throws at intermediate and deep levels with perfect accuracy.” (Pro Football Focus on Paxton Lynch); “His arm is strong enough to fling the ball 40 yards downfield on the run…” (NFL.com on Zac Dysert); “We saw the arm. There was no doubt about the arm. You knew that he had that ability. Now everything else, you’ve got to see.” (Gary Kubiak on Trevor Siemian); “Good arm talent. Will make ‘wow’ throws, especially early in games.” (NFL.com on Chad Kelly). Bill Musgrave, who is being retained as offensive coordinator with Kubiak (now a front-office exec) and Elway looking over his shoulder, had the most success of his career with an unpolished young quarterback who boasted a cannon arm: Derek Carr in Oakland. The point is: This is a building full of people who believe they can take raw arm talent and ideal size and build a quarterback. Barring a dramatic about-face from the top down, Mayfield isn’t for them. Klemko raises some fair points but what he fails to mention is that Kubiak, now a front office executive with the club, has an affinity for mobile, athletic QBs who aren't necessarily giants.