Today's media landscape demands instant analysis of the NBA draft, but it takes time to have a clear idea of how every team did.
For the 2018 draft class, we now have four seasons from which to draw some takes. If teams knew then what they know, the first round would've gone much differently.
With that extra information in hand, we'll re-draft the first 30 picks from 2018, but the order won't be entirely based on past production.
These players are all still in their early- to mid-20s, theoretically pre-prime. So, there's a lot of subjectivity in play as well. Sorting through everyone requires a lot of judgments calls.
More general evolutions in the game of basketball have to considered, too. Four years ago, the idea of positionless basketball (and by extension, the importance of wings) wasn't quite as prevalent as it is now.
With all of the above tossed into something of an analytical cocktail, this is how the first round should shake out if it was re-drafted today (assuming an order of 30 generic teams, not the original order from 2018).
30. Jevon Carter (Originally Picked 32nd)
Jevon Carter hasn't had a chance to put up a ton of raw production, but he has established himself as a solid three-and-D backup guard during his four NBA seasons.
Over the course of his career, Carter has attempted 569 threes, shot 38.3 percent from deep and posted a 0.5 defensive box plus/minus. Only nine other players matched or exceeded all three marks over that span.
29. Moritz Wagner (Originally Picked 25th)
Moritz Wagner has quietly become one of the NBA's more efficient moneyball scorers. Nearly his entire shot diet comes from three-point range or within 10 feet of the rim. Among players who put up at least as many threes over the last three seasons, his effective field-goal percentage is tied for 33rd in the league.
Wagner's slight slide from where he was originally drafted is the result of not contributing much production beyond that scoring. His team's defenses have been much better with him off the floor over the last two years, too.
28. Landry Shamet (Originally Picked 26th)
Landry Shamet is another offense-first player who puts up even fewer rebounds, steals and blocks per game than Wagner.
He's one spot above Wagner because of his more reliable track record from three (he's taken 5.2 threes per game and hit 39.0 percent of them for his career) and ability to survive in positionless or switch-heavy defensive schemes.
27. Kendrick Nunn (Originally Undrafted)
Kendrick Nunn spent all of the 2018-19 season in the G-League and missed all of last season with a knee injury, but he showed enough in his two seasons of NBA experience to enter the first round of the re-draft.
Over those two years with the Miami Heat, Nunn put up 711 three-point attempts, averaged 15.0 points and posted a 54.0 effective field-goal percentage. Only 13 players matched or exceeded all three marks during the same stretch.
26. Jae'Sean Tate (Originally Undrafted)
After going undrafted, Jae'Sean Tate spent the first two years of his professional career playing overseas. He showed enough of a Swiss army knife-like game in Australia for the Houston Rockets to bring him to the NBA, and he hasn't disappointed.
During Tate's two NBA seasons, only 12 players have matched or exceeded all of his per-possession averages for rebounds, assists, steals and threes. If he can pull his three-point percentage up from a career 31.0 to something around or above average, he'll start garnering attention as a bona fide three-and-D option.