Bayern Munich centre half David Alaba’s contract is set to expire next summer and the club’s efforts to sign him to a new deal appear to have failed, with reports of a withdrawn offer, fractured relationship, and the possibility of a January move.

None of that seems especially speculative at this point. What actually comes next for Alaba, though, seems far less certain—what his contract demands are, just how interested other clubs are in signing him, and just how likely a January departure really is.