You shouldn't completely avoid the following players in fantasy hockey this season, but they're unlikely to meet expectations relative to how high you'll have to draft them.
Morgan Rielly, D, Maple Leafs
Rielly finished third among NHL defensemen with 72 points in 2018-19, surpassing his previous career-high of 52 points. It was a banner year for the former fifth overall pick, as he scored 20 goals despite never reaching double-digit tallies in the previous five years of his career.
Rielly's season was aided by a career-best 9.0 shooting percentage, which doubled his career mark of 4.1 percent entering the campaign. He has a quick shot that he's able to get through traffic, but he doesn't possess a rocket from the point that would make this mark sustainable.
Additionally, 18 of Rielly's 52 assists came with the man advantage. There's a strong chance that he'll lose power-play time to the newly acquired Tyson Barrie, specifically with the top unit. Barrie, who quarterbacked the Avalanche's seventh-ranked power play a year ago, has a right-handed bomb from the point, making him a better fit for Toronto's left-handed heavy No. 1 unit.
Rielly is in the prime of his career and surrounded by high-end talent, so he's still likely to get somewhere between 50 and 60 points, but he won't have nearly the same value as a year ago.
Mark Giordano, D, Flames
Giordano had a season for the ages in 2018-19, tallying a career-high 74 points and winning the Norris Trophy as the league's top defenseman.
Unfortunately, the odds of the soon-to-be 36-year-old repeating that output is highly unlikely. The Flames captain finished second in the league - only to Nikita Kucherov - with 32 secondary assists, compared to 25 primary helpers. Secondary assists are tougher to predict year-to-year and Giordano's total is primed for regression.