There's no question about it: if the NBA season ended today, James Harden would be crowned MVP. The Houston Rockets guard was our choice at the All-Star break, and he remains the heavy favorite to take home the hardware at the 2018 NBA Awards in Los Angeles June 25. Baseball-Reference tracks MVP probability based on player stats and previous voting results. The database currently has Harden in No. 1 by a landslide, with a 65.9 percent probability of winning the award. He's followed by Stephen Curry, Chris Paul, LeBron James, and Kevin Durant. Is it possible that a player who's all the way down at No. 6 could have a shot at the award? That may seem unlikely, but Anthony Davis' performance lately has turned heads. Davis has been on an absolute tear since late January, when New Orleans lost DeMarcus Cousins for the rest of the season with an Achilles injury. As a result, he's sprinted into the MVP conversation. His explosive February earned him Western Conference Player of the Month honors. For the season, Davis is averaging career-bests of 28.1 points and 2.3 assists in addition to 11.1 boards and 2.3 blocks per game. He wasn't a good shooter early in his career but has become a moderate threat from outside; he's shooting 36 percent from downtown. His 28.9 Player Efficiency Rating ranks second in league.