Justin Verlander was not expected to allow runs. Justin Verlander allowed runs. Whenever there's cognitive dissonance like that, there's a temptation to ask what's wrong. What did Verlander do wrong? Was his stuff lackluster? Wonky mechanics? Did the layoff make a difference? Everyone has an opinion, and a lot of those opinions were formed immediately after the fact. The guy who would probably know best, Verlander, said he was out of sync.

Sometimes, there is something obviously wrong. When the Giants hit Chris Carpenter in the sixth game of the NLCS, Yadier Molina was often sitting on the outside corner, looking for a sinker down, and Carpenter would sail a sinker up and over the plate.