"There's a chance Jair Jurrjens has worked his last inning of 2011, and that doesn't augur well for a team that stands to play beyond the 162nd game. But the Braves can win the Division Series without Jurrjens if — and this is a mammoth "if" — Tommy Hanson is OK.

A team doesn't need four starters in Round 1. Figure Tim Hudson starts Games 1 and 4, Hanson (assuming he's healthy) works Games 2 and 5, and Derek Lowe or Brandon Beachy or Mike Minor gets Game 3. The Braves can win with that rotation."