We should know the Braves’ Opening Day starter soon. Very soon. Either manager Fredi Gonzalez will just announce it in next day or two, or when the Braves announce pitching plans for the next several days it’ll become pretty obvious how the rotation will look to open the season.
For me, all signs now point to Tim Hudson as the Opening Day starter. When spring training began, I counted every fifth day and said if Gonzalez kept pitchers on that schedule, it'd be Medlen. But he didn't keep pitchers on every-fifth-day schedule. Unlike in some past camps, when the Braves had a pitcher throw on off day in a 'B' game or minor league game, this spring they gave everyone the day off on the two off days in the schedule (usually there's just one off day in the schedule).
As a result, Hudson now looks like the OD starter. He’s done it more than once, and he’s now closest to the every-fifth-day scheduled lining up for him to do it again. It seems the only logical conclusion since he'd be able to start tonight and Tuesday, then go on one extra day of rest for Opening Day April 1 against Philly.
The scheduling doesn't really work for Medlen to start Opening Day now, unless he were to do it on a full week of rest. I think they'll have him start a split-squad game Saturday (he'd be on regular rest, because of off day in schedule this week) and then could start the Grapefruit finale next Thursday (March 28) vs. Houston.
Medlen then could start Game 2 of the regular season (against the Phillies) on one extra day of rest.
The Braves haven't yet announced upcoming plans beyond Paul Maholm's start Friday against Philadelphia. That would put Maholm on pace to start Wednesday against Washington in the next-to-last Grapefruit League game, then he could start Game 3 of the season-opening series against the Phillies. The left-hander would be on an extra two days' rest -- not ideal, but not a big deal either -- and it makes sense if the Braves want to separate their lefties, as Gonzalez has indicated previously.
Keep in mind, the Braves have two days off after we leave Florida and before Opening Day. There’s a day off on each side of the March 30 exhibition game at Mississippi against Braves prospects.