Otto Porter may be the safest lottery pick available in this year’s draft. The Georgetown small forward has already showcased a wide variety of skills, both on offense and defense, that will be transferable to the pro game, and has the size for his position and youth that teams desire in high lottery picks, as well.

This is not to say that Porter doesn’t have things to work on, or that another player or players may end up being a better pro, but Porter’s baseline is established and very solid. He reminds me of another recent Georgetown product, Greg Monroe, in that way. My sense is that you knew, at the very least, what Monroe was going to give you as a pro, and he’s well on his way to exceeding that base projection. Porter should provide the same level of certainty, with significant upside for the team selecting him.

Porter wasn’t very good in the NCAA tournament against Florida Gulf Coast, but frankly, none of the Hoyas were. I’d prefer to focus on his two seasons as a Hoya, and especially the stretch in the Big East this season after Greg Whittington was lost to eligibility issues, when Porter showed an incredible capacity to raise his efficiency while shouldering a much heavier possession load for a limited offensive team. Colleague @LukeWinn’s Power Rankings tracked Porter’s offensive load carrying and complementary improvement in efficiency (in team blurb No. 2). A good amount of that improvement came from better shot selection and Porter’s growth as a jump shooter with legitimate college three-point range.