The Mavericks woke up this morning closer to the bottom of the Western Conference standings than they are to the eighth seed.

Suffice to say, their 12-season postseason streak looks like it’s on life support at this point. If you want to put a number on it, the statistical formula created by John Hollinger gives the Mavs an 11.6 percent chance of making the playoffs.

Home is where the Mavs’ slim hope is.

For a playoff push to be even a remote possibility for the Mavs, they must protect their house leading into the All-Star break. Tonight’s game against the Portland Trail Blazers begins a five-game homestand, with four of those games coming before the break.

“It’s pretty much a must week for us,” O.J. Mayo said.

The Mavs, who were the best road team in the NBA in the recent past, have been an awful 8-19 away from the American Airlines Center this season. Making matters worse, the Mavs have played the most road games in the West so far.

The silver lining is that the rest of the Mavs’ schedule is home intensive, including seven of their next eight games. They also have a six-game homestand in March and finish the season with four of their final five games at the AAC.

For those games to matter, the Mavs have to get hot now at home, where they’re 12-9 this season and will face the Blazers, Golden State Warriors, Atlanta Hawks and Sacramento Kings before the break.