's Jonathan Mayo is something like the Mel Kiper Jr. of baseball prospects. His list of top 20 Orioles prospects is out. These rankings are based off the same that were unveiled last week to rank the top 100 prospects in all of baseball - which featured only two Orioles prospects, Dylan Bundy at #2 and Kevin Gausman at #37. Manny Machado surely would have ranked high, were he still eligible.

Before we dive into Mayo's rankings, or any prospect rankings, it's worth remembering the reality that most prospects generally either don't have a high ceiling or will not reach their high ceiling. Even the professionals who do this all the time - be they Keith Law, Baseball America, Mayo or anyone else - can churn out a top 100 list with total whiffs. No less than Billy Rowell was once the #47 prospect according to Baseball America. Brian Matusz sat at #5 prior to the 2010 season. For most, even some of the most highly-touted, the sharp knife of a cruel reality slices into the dreams of a baseball career.

Fans of the Orioles or any other team can only hope that with solid scouting, good player development, and a healthy bit of luck, their team's front office can beat the odds. Right now, the Orioles system is mostly Andy MacPhail/Joe Jordan draftees and signees, but it's going to be Dan Duquette's people who will be trying to mold them into players who can contribute to the Orioles, whether they are big leaguers or trade chips.