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Draft Strategy: Early ADP Outliers

"We're in the middle of Super Bowl week, so perhaps it's a little early to take fantasy baseball ADP (Average Draft Position) data seriously. After all, we're still a little over two months away from the start of the season. But when it's 65 degrees outside on February 1, it's difficult to resist the temptation to look toward spring and examine some early outliers.

I did a column similar to this one just about a year ago, in which I detailed some of my issues with ADP data in general. It's important to remember that each site's ADP information is slightly different, so be sure to participate in mocks in multiple places to get a feel of where certain players are going. If you are drafting in an ESPN or Yahoo! format, to use two common examples, do mock drafts on their sites in order to get a gauge on their default player rankings. It's one of the easiest ways to find undervalued and overvalued players.

For the purposes of this column, I used ADP data from Couch Managers, the same place where we conducted our annual experts' mock draft. By the way, you can find results and analysis of that particular mock draft in Rotoworld's Online Draft Guide, which is available now. "


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