If you were to ask Philadelphia 76ers president Bryan Colangelo if the franchise he’s now the commander of will be tanking again in 2016-17, he’ll respond with, “not a chance.”

Considering the lengthy list of circumstances, tanking once more–even if Colangelo would like to call it something else for the sake of ridding the Sixers of a “losing culture”–makes perfect sense.

Six games have produced six losses for the Sixers thus far, and it’s becoming clear that Philadelphia is still a piece or three away from being a good team. Excluding a small major miracle, the Sixers aren’t playing more than 82 games this season, which means yet another trip to the NBA Draft Lottery is inevitable.

Given Philadelphia’s needs – primarily in the backcourt – is clawing to become a 30-win team simply to scrap the tanking label and securing the No. 8 or No. 9 pick worth risking the potential reward of a franchise-altering talent in the top three to pair with Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid?

That would seem less than ideal.

On average, each team selecting within the top three of in each of the previous three drafts have won 18.8 games per season, with no team winning more than 21 games besides the 33-win Cleveland Cavaliers in 2014 – the Cavs entered the lottery with a 1.4 percent chance at the top pick.

Considering Simmons – Philadelphia’s 2016 No. 1 pick – will be sidelined with a foot fracture for at least a third of the season, along with a handful other injuries and minutes restrictions, 18-to-21 wins seems to be quite close to the Sixers ceiling.